Oscar Predictions

To get myself in the mood for the up-coming Oscars, including an Oscar party I'll be attending where I'm sure there'll be predictions contest, I'm going to make some Academy Award selections and predictions. In many cases, I have no opinion about who should or will because I have seen only a few (or none!) of the films in contention. So, I'm going to make either a total shot-in-the-dark prediction or my best "educated guess." My predicted winner will be listed in bold font. What are your thoughts?

BEST PICTURE

• Brokeback Mountain
  
• Capote
• Crash
• Good Night, and Good Luck
• Munich

DIRECTOR

• Ang Lee, "Brokeback Mountain"
• Bennett Miller, "Capote"
• Paul Haggis, "Crash"
• George Clooney, "Good Night, and Good Luck"
• Steven Spielberg, "Munich"

ACTOR IN A LEADING ROLE

• Philip Seymour Hoffman, "Capote"
• Terrence Howard, "Hustle & Flow"
• Heath Ledger, "Brokeback Mountain"
• Joaquin Phoenix, "Walk the Line"
• David Strathairn, "Good Night, and Good Luck"

ACTRESS IN A LEADING ROLE

• Judi Dench, "Mrs. Henderson Presents"
• Felicity Huffman, "Transamerica"
  
• Keira Knightley, "Pride & Prejudice"
• Charlize Theron, "North Country"
• Reese Witherspoon, "Walk the Line"

ACTOR IN A SUPPORTING ROLE

• George Clooney, "Syriana"
• Matt Dillon, "Crash"
• Paul Giamatti, "Cinderella Man"
  
• Jake Gyllenhaal, "Brokeback Mountain"
• William Hurt, "A History of Violence"

ACTRESS IN A SUPPORTING ROLE

• Amy Adams, "Junebug"
• Catherine Keener, "Capote"
  
• Frances McDormand, "North Country"
• Rachel Weisz, "The Constant Gardener"
• Michelle Williams, "Brokeback Mountain"

ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY

• Paul Haggis and Bobby Moresco, "Crash"
• George Clooney and Grant Heslov, "Good Night, and Good Luck"
• Woody Allen, "Match Point"
• Noah Baumbach, "The Squid and the Whale"
• Stephen Gaghan, "Syriana"

ADAPTED SCREENPLAY

• Larry McMurtry and Diana Ossana, "Brokeback Mountain"
• Dan Futterman, "Capote"
• Jeffrey Caine, "The Constant Gardener"
• Josh Olsen, "A History of Violence"
• Tony Kushner and Eric Roth, "Munich"

FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM

• "Don't Tell" (Italy)
• "Joyeux Noël" (France)
• "Paradise Now" (Palestine)
• "Sophie Scholl" (Germany)
• "Tsotsi" (South Africa)

ANIMATED FEATURE

• "Howl's Moving Castle"
• "Tim Burton's Corpse Bride"
• "Wallace & Gromit: The Curse of the Were-Rabbit"

ORIGINAL SCORE

• Gustavo Santaolalla, "Brokeback Mountain"
• Alberto Iglesias, "The Constant Gardener"
• John Williams, "Memoirs of a Geisha"
• John Williams, "Munich"
• Dario Marianelli, "Pride & Prejudice"

ORIGINAL SONG

• "In the Deep" from "Crash"
• "It's Hard Out Here for a Pimp" from "Hustle & Flow"
• "Travelin' Thru" from "Transamerica"

ART DIRECTION

• Jim Bissell and Jan Pascale, "Good Night, and Good Luck"
• Stuart Craig and Stephenie McMillan, "Harry Potter and the Goblet of Fire"
• Grant Major, Dan Hennah and Simon Bright, "King Kong"
• John Myhre and Gretchen Rau, "Memoirs of a Geisha"
• Sarah Greenwood and Katie Spencer, "Pride & Prejudice"

CINEMATOGRAPHY

• Wally Pfister, "Batman Begins"
• Rodrigo Prieto, "Brokeback Mountain"
• Robert Elswit, "Good Night, and Good Luck"
• Dion Beebe, "Memoirs of a Geisha"
• Emmanuel Lubezki, "The New World"

COSTUME DESIGN

• Gabriella Pescucci, "Charlie and the Chocolate Factory"
• Colleen Atwood, "Memoirs of a Geisha"
• Sandy Powell, "Mrs. Henderson Presents"
• Jacqueline Durran, "Pride & Prejudice"
• Arianne Phillips, "Walk the Line"

MAKEUP

• Howard Berger and Tami Lane, "The Chronicles of Narnia: The Lion, the Witch and the Wardrobe"
• David Leroy and Lance Anderson, "Cinderella Man"
• Dave Elsey and Annette Miles, "Star Wars: Episode III - Revenge of the Sith"

DOCUMENTARY FEATURE

• "Darwin's Nightmare"
• "Enron: The Smartest Guys in the Room"
• "March of the Penguins"
• "Murderball"
• "Street Fight"

SOUND MIXING

• Terry Porter, Dean A. Zupancic and Tony Johnson, "The Chronicles of Narnia: The Lion, the Witch and the Wardrobe"
• Christopher Boyes, Michael Semanick, Michael Hedges and Hammond Peek, "King Kong"
• Kevin O'Connell, Greg P. Russell, Rick Kline and John Pritchett, "Memoirs of a Geisha"
• Paul Massey, D. M. Hemphill and Peter F. Kurland, "Walk the Line"
• Andy Nelson, Anne Behlmer and Ronald Judkins, "War of the Worlds"

SOUND EDITING

• Mike Hopkins and Ethan Van der Ryn, "King Kong"
• Wylie Stateman, "Memoirs of a Geisha"
• Richard King, "War of the Worlds"

VISUAL EFFECTS

• Dean Wright, Bill Westenhofer, Jim Berney and Scott Farrar, "The Chronicles of Narnia: The Lion, the Witch and the Wardrobe"
• Joe Letteri, Brian Van't Hul, Christian Rivers and Richard Taylor, "King Kong"
• Dennis Muren, Pablo Helman, Randy Dutra and Daniel Sudick, "War of the Worlds"

FILM EDITING

• Mike Hill and Dan Hanley, "Cinderella Man"
• Claire Simpson, "The Constant Gardener"
• Hughes Winborne, "Crash"
• Michael Kahn, "Munich"
• Michael McCusker, "Walk the Line"

SHORT FILM - ANIMATED

• "Badgered"
• "The Moon and the Son: An Imagined Conversation"
• "The Mysterious Geographic Explorations of Jasper Morello"
• "9"
• "One Man Band"

SHORT FILM - LIVE ACTION

• "Ausreisser" ("The Runaway")
• "Cashback"
• "The Last Farm"
• "Our Time Is Up"
• "Six Shooter"

DOCUMENTARY SHORT SUBJECT

• "The Death of Kevin Carter: Casualty of the Bang Bang Club"
• "God Sleeps in Rwanda"
• "The Mushroom Club"
• "A Note of Triumph: The Golden Age of Norman Corwin